ctDNA to predict risk of progression and death after trifluridin/tipiracil therapy

Background. Late-line treatment in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) can improve the prognosis. However, not every patient has a benefit and may experience severe side effects. Thus, predictive/prognostic biomarkers are urgently needed. Despite many promising results, the role of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) analysis in trifluridin/tipiracil (FTD/TPI) treated mCRC patients is so far still elusive. Study design. This prospective non-interventional translational biomarker phase II study enrolled 30 metastatic CRC patients treated with FTD/TPI. The primary study aim was to identify a molecular biomarker to predict overall survival (OS) benefit upon FTD/TPI treatment. Methods. mCRC patients (60% male, 40% female) with FTD/TPI therapy were included. Molecular profiling in cell-free DNA from plasma was performed prior to treatment and on average 4, 8 and 12 weeks after FTD/TPI initiation. Tumor levels were assessed as the highest variant allele frequency (hVAF) and correlated with OS. Uni- and multivariate analyses for survival were performed with clinical variables. Multivariate analyses for survival and treatment efficacy were adjusted to age, gender and ECOG performance status. Results. Compared to previous data, our disease control rate of 30% was lower with a median OS of 8.1 months and a median PFS of 3.2 months. At baseline (BL) and the first two follow-ups (FU), a hVAF cut-off of 7.5% was most discriminative (BL HR 0.39 95% CI 0.16 - 0.98 P=0.0212, FU1 HR 0.30 95% CI 0.12 -0.77 P=0.0021, FU2 HR 0.23 95% CI 0.08-0.70 P=0.0004) whereas at the last follow-up the stratification was most pronounced at a 15% cut-off. An elevated hVAF trajectory over time was associated with a higher risk of death. Conclusion. ctDNA is detectable in a high proportion of mCRC patients. Changes in ctDNA levels are associated with survival among FTD/TPI therapy and may identify patients who benefit most from treatment in these late-stage disease.

• Type: Other
• Archiver: European Genome-Phenome Archive (EGA)